Tuesday, May 13, 2014

The Oil & Gas Boom’s Wayward Effect on Local Housing Economies

New technologies introduced into the oil and gas industry have unlocked immense opportunity for exploration in rock formations that were once deemed unreachable and impenetrable. The result is a heavy increase of oil and gas activity in rural areas across the United States, which often causes considerable advantage and disruptions to the local economy and especially the local housing market.

The increased oil and gas activity leads to an influx of temporary workers, which collectively represent a sizable portion of the local population. On one hand, the oil and gas industry brings a large chunk of money to each geographic area in which it performs, generating tax revenue as well as fueling direct and induced economic benefits. However, this population of high-wage workers also dries up the areas of available affordable housing and ultimately drives up housing and motel rates to that comparable to new complexes in larger metro areas, well beyond the reach of local residents not employed by the drilling companies, subcontractors, or suppliers.

Another residual of the energy boom is an increasing student population, which drives job openings for new teachers who in turn find themselves in a considerable pinch to find affordable housing on a teacher’s salary.

A 2013 study by a panel of economists comprising the Gas and Oil Task Force (GOTF) offered insight on eight specific areas across the country where booms in energy exploration have had significant effects on local housing markets. The areas of focus are: the Bakken Formation in Montana and North Dakota; the Niobrara Formation in northern Colorado; the Piceance Shale Formation in western Colorado, the Permian Basin Formation in eastern New Mexico and Texas; the Barnett Shale Formation in northeastern Texas; the Eagle Ford Shale Formation in south Texas; the Marcellus Shale Formation in Maryland, New York, Pennsylvania, Virginia and West Virginia; and the Utica Shale Formation in Maryland, New York, Ohio, Pennsylvania and West Virginia.

While GOTF found that while many energy boom areas have seen accelerated growth (single-year increases in the employment rate of as much as 41% were recorded in Williams County, North Dakota, and 27% in Dimmit and LaSalle counties in Texas), much of the employment and population growth in these areas is temporary. This creates a formidable snag in analyzing the data, as data collected on temporary or mobile workers are typically reported by place of permanent residence or that of their employer’s permanent facility. As such, census and employment data may show little change over the course of time though thousands of workers may be taking residence in the area for weeks or months.

According to an article on HUDUser.org penned by Kurt Usowski, deputy assistant secretary for Economic Affairs, oil and gas exploration-induced housing also adversely impacts the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development’s (HUD) clients by tightening the housing market, shrinking supply and cramping operations of HUD’s rental subsidy programs. Landlords taking advantage of strong housing demand often terminate leases with local tenants and instead rent to energy exploration workers at much higher rates. Usowski also reported that in North Dakota, at least two affordable projects have opted out of HUD rental subsidy programs, doubled their rent charges, and quickly maxed out their vacancies.

GOTF’s study also revealed that the effect of oil and gas activity varies by region and type of formation. The panel continues to work toward developing a methodology for assessing the effects of oil and gas production on local housing markets to provide HUD with data to respond to housing and economic needs arising in these areas.

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