According to the most recent published natural gas supply
data from the U.S. Energy Information Administration (January 2012), we had
technically recoverable resources of around 2,266 trillion cubic feet (tcf) of
natural gas here in the country, enough to last us more than 92 years at
then-current consumption levels. Sustained growth in proved reserves, driven by
mounting discoveries primarily from shale exploration, as well as
conventional/tight onshore, with coalbed methane and offshore accounting for only
a minimal portion, is a clear indicator according to EIA estimates that this
healthy buffer of natural gas supply will be maintained for the foreseeable
future, so long as we continue exploration and development.
EIA’s Annual Energy Outlook 2015 projections indicate a
considerable increase through 2040 for dry natural gas and gas plant liquids
production, with average annual production growth increasing at a faster rate
than crude oil and lease condensate by as much as 72 percent, faster than
everything in fact, except for renewables. With supply, disposition and price
growth figures for natural gas at Henry Hub outstripping other energy sources
like coal or oil by nearly a factor of two, it seems inescapable that natural
gas will continue to play an increasingly vital role in not only domestic
energy consumption, but also the energy export market, where natural gas is
projected to enjoy nearly 6 percent growth through 2040, hitting upwards of 4.5
percent by as early as 2020.
None of this is news to Houston-headquartered ENGlobal Corp.
(NASDAQ: ENG) of course, which specializes in a wide variety of upstream,
midstream and downstream oil and particularly gas automation integration, as
well as EPCM (engineering, procurement and construction management) solutions,
via its network of strategically-located facilities around the country.
ENGlobal saw solid returns for its automation segment in 2014, with continued
levels of spending by the company’s midstream and downstream clientele being a
major contributing factor and the company has weathered the storm of lower
commodity prices thus far in 2015 as well, even showing considerable
appreciation of operating profit margins for its EPCM segment. The secret to
ENGlobal’s success is really no secret at all, considering how major industry
players continue to seek the company out for their impeccable safety record and
ability to achieve full-spectrum design, engineering, construction management
and procurement services.
Because natural gas-fired power plants are a clean backdrop
source for electrical production, they represent the most obvious solution to
addressing the deficiencies of renewables like solar or wind, and can be
quickly scaled (unlike nuclear) and fired up when the sun isn’t shining or the
wind isn’t blowing. The only thing really missing for the natural gas factor in
the overall domestic energy equation is the pipeline infrastructure needed to
make good use of all our natural gas, as well as the increased LNG/CNG plant
capacity needed to ramp up exports, and satisfy increasingly diverse domestic
sources of demand. More than $150 billion or more has already been spent on
domestic natural gas distribution infrastructure and yet as much as 46 percent
of pipeline capacity currently sits idle for a variety of reasons. The most
pertinent portion of this idle capacity is due largely (and paradoxically) to
stalled development of other pipelines and plants, which are needed to make use
of existing infrastructural capacity. A good example of this phenomenon is Pennsylvania,
where almost as much as 19 percent of existing wells were idle last year, due
primarily to lack of natural gas pipelines needed to tie production in to.
The incredible supply and demand fundamentals in regions
like the northeast, highlighted by data points such as around 44 percent of New
England’s electrical energy production coming from gas-fueled generators last
year, are a major driver behind increased natural gas pipeline infrastructure
activity. The announcement last week of an $80 million investment by
diversified energy delivery giant UIL Holdings (NYSE: UIL) in Kinder Morgan’s
(NYSE: KMI) Northeast Energy Direct interstate pipeline project – which seeks
to put down some 200 miles of new transmission lines, leveraging the Marcellus
shale fields of Pennsylvania in order to bring gas to northeastern markets in
Massachusetts, New Hampshire and New York state – is just the tip of the
iceberg when it comes to ongoing and necessary infrastructural development.
A great deal more of such development is needed to connect
existing and emerging fields to energy markets throughout the U.S. and ENGlobal
is banking on being one of a handful of unquestionably trustworthy providers of
the crucial automation integration and EPCM work needed to realize the necessary
objectives. The announcement earlier this year by midstream company ONEOK
Partners (NYSE: OKS), that they suspended development on the Demicks Lake gas
processing plant designed to service the Williston Basin, as well as two others
due to commodity market conditions and subsequently foreseen lack of natural
gas volume growth, hasn’t stalled the associated Demicks Lake pipeline from MDU
Resources Group (NYSE:MDU), which is now in Federal Energy Regulatory
Commission environmental assessment.
ONEOK, which is in a position to quickly resume these
projects when market conditions improve, based its rationale for halting plant
development to some degree on pure logistics, and the lack of natural gas
production volume growth. Even at lower prices, the Demicks Lake facility, as
well as ONEOK’s Knox plant in Oklahoma and the Bronco plant in Wyoming’s Powder
River Basin, are absolutely necessary when one looks at the broader national
energy demand picture. However, the aforementioned lack of a truly robust domestic
network of pipelines has forced regions like the northeast into using
gas-powered generators. Ironically, one of the major factors in stalling the
development of national pipeline infrastructure, which has led to the use of
environmentally unfriendly gas and diesel generator usage increases in the
northeast, has been protest by environmental groups.
The real underlying problem is throughput itself and
ENGlobal has shored-up its operational footprint in order to be ready to
capture demand, operationally delimiting bottom line impact due to falloff in
upstream related orders, and rounding out its Q1 (ended March 28) with a
healthy cash position of $24.4 million, $5.1 million in notes receivable
collected after the end of the quarter, and zero borrowings under its current
credit facility. Leaner and meaner, with a more focused operation, lower
overhead costs and a significantly reduced project risk profile, ENGlobal is
well-positioned to capitalize on sustained infrastructure demand, especially as
we round the corner towards fall and winter months. ENGlobal’s full-spectrum
project delivery capabilities, as well as elements like its Government Services
group specializing in turnkey automation and instrumentation systems for global
U.S. defense industry interests, make the company a real contender in this
environment. Investor’s should keep a close eye on ENG as we head towards the
exit on this year’s summer natural gas storage injection season. Especially
after last year’s bitter cold weather throughout the U.S., which led to
record-breaking natural gas withdrawals.
Learn more about ENGlobal by visiting www.englobal.com
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MissionIR is committed to connecting the investment community with companies that have great potential and a strong dedication to building shareholder value. We know our reputation is based on the integrity of our clients and go to great lengths to ensure the companies represented adhere to sound business practices.
Sign up for “The Mission Report” at www.MissionIR.com
Please see disclaimer on the MissionIR website http://www.missionir.com/disclaimer.html